Astro’s “Pick-Six” For February

Photo of Colorado WR Laviska Shenault from sfchronicle.com.

Just like we did over the holidays, it’s time to pick six prospective players at each of the Bills’ nine picks. We’ll do this based on player value, fit with the Bills’ archetype, positional need, and work ethic. My “Pick Six”, if you will. You will often see these names grabbed by the Bills in the DraftTek mocks, and they will undoubtedly change as we get closer and closer to April 23–25, 2020.

Except where noted, all of the players below have had Bills scouts at least one game. Follow #BillsMafia and @TCBILLS_Astro on Twitter, or The Original Buffalo Bills Fan Page on Facebook for updates and debate. Let’s get into it, shall we?

ROUND 1, Pick 22
Laviska Shenault WR Colorado
Tee Higgins WR Clemson
K’Lavon Chaisson OLB LSU
Xavier McKinney S Alabama
Mekhi Becton OT Louisville
Henry Ruggs III WR Alabama

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Shenault.
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Chaisson.
The Most Interesting Stat: Shenault’s 78.2% catch rate to Higgins’ 65.6%

Who I’m Picking: Laviska Shenault, WR, Colorado. He was so versatile that Daboll’s drooling right now. The Buffs used him in slot, outside WR, H-back, tailback, TE, wildcat QB, and even a punt return (54 yards). He outweighs Higgins by 20 pounds. That’s before wings.

Photo of Georgia RT Isaiah Wilson from 247sports.com.

ROUND 2, Pick 54
Trade Up to 47 for Michael Pittman Jr. WR USC (costs your RD4)
Isaiah Wilson RT Georgia
Brycen Hopkins TE Purdue
J.K. Dobbins RB Ohio State
Lucas Niang OT TCU
Trade Down for Malik Harrison ILB/OLB Ohio State or Collin Johnson WR Texas (receive RD4)

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Dobbins
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Johnson or Niang
The Most Interesting Stat: Isaiah Wilson was PFF’s 3rd-best run-blocking OT in the SEC, and the Bulldogs’ OL had CFB’s fifth-highest run-blocking grade, fourth in pass-blocking, and second-overall OL grade this year.

Who I’m Picking: Isaiah Wilson, RT, Georgia. It’s so tempting to take Dobbins here, and I frequently mock him to the Bills for his ideal fit with Singletary, but RB is not the top need, with Devin, Christian Wade, and possibly Frank Gore or other FA vet in the mix. Brandon Beane’s not done protecting Josh in the pocket. I want someone who can compete with Ford for that long-term RT spot, sliding the other one inside. Ty Nsehke will be 34 by next camp.

Photo of Arizona State WR/KR/PR Brandon Aiyuk from 247sports.com.

ROUND 3, Pick 86
Albert Okwuegbunam TE Missouri
Bradlee Anae EDGE Utah
Brandon Aiyuk WR/KR/PR Arizona State
Josh Uche OLB Michigan
K.J. Hill WR Ohio State
Antoine Winfield Jr. S Minnesota

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Okwuegbunam
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Bradlee Anae
The Most Interesting Stat: Brandon Aiyuk’s tops-in-FBS 31.9 yards per return in 2018 (2nd-in-FBS in 2019 at 16.1) will make the Bills better than top five on special teams, but there’s more: Aiyuk has the highest yards per catch of the five WRs flirting with a 4.30 forty time this year: 18.3 ypc.

Who I’m Picking: Brandon Aiyuk WR/KR/PR, Arizona State. Aiyuk’s speed, productivity, and return ability make both Foster and Roberts expendable, and creates a huge match-up problem with Shenault, Brown, and Beasley also out there. Aiyuk used his condor-like 81-inch wingspan to max advantage, making him able to snare 65 passes this year. I explored a trade-down to take Anae, but so many teams have EDGE on their shopping list right below this pick (#87 Pats, #92 Ravens in particular). If you want him (and didn’t get a free-agent EDGE), take Anae at #86.

Photo of LSU RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire from CBSsports.com.

ROUND 4, Pick ~118
Kyle Dugger S Lenoir-Rhyne
Lloyd Cushenberry OC LSU
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB LSU
Joe Bachie ILB Michigan State
McTelvin Agim ED/3T Arkansas
Damon Arnette CB Ohio State

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: McTelvin Agim
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Kyle Dugger
The Most Interesting Stat: Edwards-Helaire is 2nd in the talent-rich SEC (Najee Harris) with 36% of his carries resulting in a first down or TD, and his 877 KR yards give the Bills a Marshon-like beast who refuses to go down.

Who I’m Picking: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, LSU. This is the pick you have to give up if you traded up for Pittman. Edwards-Helaire is your reward for restraint. Clyde catches passes, picks up blitzes, forces missed tackles, keeps his legs constantly churning, and possesses great football intelligence. He’s determined to score. Cushenberry is a tempting target to back up Morse, but if we keep both Feliciano and Long, we already have that. Damon Arnette will be one of the draft’s best zone corners, and got plenty of work opposite likely-RD1-pick Jeffrey Okudah.

Photo of Notre Dame CB Tony Pride, Jr. from si.com.

ROUND 5A, Pick ~137
Michael Ojemudia CB Iowa
Lamical Perine RB Florida
Van Jefferson WR Florida
Raequan Williams DL3T Michigan State
Michael Onwenu OG Michigan
Troy Pride Jr. CB Notre Dame

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Raequan Williams
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Van Jefferson
The Most Interesting Stat: Troy Pride won Notre Dame’s fastest man competition after being runner-up to his roomie Julian Love (Giants RD4#108). Pride had 16 passes defensed over his final two years.

Who I’m Picking: Troy Pride Jr. CB Notre Dame. A self-professed film rat intent on getting better every day, Pride works his craft like all good Process disciples. He’s not likely winning a starting role with White-Wallace-Johnson in there, but he’s a nice fit for the complex scheme McDermott and Frasier run. And nobody will outwork –or outrun– him. He shined at the Senior bowl. If Pride rises up draft boards, take Ojemudia. The GM and Assistant GM likely went to see ED A.J. Epenesa and LT Tristan Wirfs vs Michigan, but Ojemudia had the second-highest FIPS number (Forced Fumbles + INTs + Passes Defensed + Solo Tackles) of all CB draftables in 2019. Ojemudia is also a team player, with great leadership and smarts, has a thick build and long arms, excelling in passes defensed. Perine’s “Missed Tackles Forced” stat has annually been among the college leaders, and so was Singletary.

Photo of Syracuse EDGE Alton Robinson from Syracuse.com.

ROUND 5B, Pick ~149
Alton Robinson EDGE Syracuse
Marquise Overton iDL Oklahoma
Quartney Davis WR Texas A&M
Ross Blacklock DL3T TCU
Ke’Shawn Vaughn RB Vanderbilt
Terrell Burgess S-CB Utah

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Cam Brown ILB
The Biggest Reaches on DraftTek Big Board: Davis and Blacklock
The Most Interesting Stat: Alton Robinson finished his 2018 with 10.0 sacks and 17.0 TFL, most of all returning rushers not named Kendall Coleman.

Who I’m Picking: Alton Robinson EDGE Syracuse. Alton’s 0.91 TFL/G career is almost unheard of among Day-3 EDGE rushers, and there were two draftables that met that mark. I’m going to take BOTH this year (see pick 6B below). Other considerations: Terrell Burgess is just a player, and I’ll do a happy dance if his name is called on Day 3, but he’s likely taking Jaquan Johnson’s role (not happening). Ke’Shawn Vaughn (5-10, 222, 66 career receptions) would be an outstanding later-round option to complement Devin’s skillset at RB. Marquise Overton is a heavyweight state champ wrestler who’d have buddies in Horrible Harry and Sean McDermott. Nicknamed “Cue”, Overton owned PFF’s highest run-stop percentage among iDL last year at 12.4%.

Photo of Florida Atlantic TE Harrison Bryant from fausports.com.

ROUND 6A, Pick 168
Saahdiq Charles OT LSU
Harrison Bryant TE Florida Atlantic
Alohi Gilman S Notre Dame
J.R. Reed S Georgia
Mustafa Johnson DL3T Colorado
Quintez Cephus WR Wisconsin

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Harrison Bryant
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Mustafa Johnson
The Most Interesting Stat: In his 41-game career Bryant has caught 148 passes for 2,137 yards and 16 touchdowns.

Who I’m Picking: Harrison Bryant TE Florida Atlantic. Singletary will appreciate that Beane took his teammate. Bryant’s a shoo-in for the Mackey Award, and he’s quick on the uptake –he’s been on the conference’s All-Academic Team two years in a row. Knox, Sweeney, and Bryant’s a very bright, very young, high-ceiling Tight Ends room, so I’ll likely need to keep Lee Smith. Bryant will be what Kroft was supposed to be.

Photo of Miami EDGE Jonathan Garvin from 247sports.com.

ROUND 6B, Pick 181
Breiden Fehoko DL5T LSU
Jared Pinkney TE Vanderbilt
Bryan Edwards WR South Carolina
Dane Jackson CB Pitt
Jonathan Garvin EDGE Miami (FL)
Patrick Queen ILB LSU

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Jonathan Garvin
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Jared Pinkney
The Most Interesting Stat: Garvin matched Alton Robinson’s .91 TFL/G

Who I’m Picking: Jonathan Garvin EDGE Miami (FL). I said I was going to take BOTH productive EDGE rushers this year (actually, three; OLB/DE Jesse Lemonier’s Liberty alma mater got a look from Bills’ scouts too, he gets a call if he makes it to UDFA –he had 1.16 TFL/G). Breiden Fehoko is a strong bull rusher who showed quick uptake at the Hula Bowl, where he just dominated opponents. He possesses ridiculous get-off speed and instant-on power. His upside at DE, 5T, and 3T could be developed as a depth option.

Photo of Minnesota RB/KR Rodney Smith from duluthnewstribune.com.

ROUND 6C , Pick 182
Geno Stone SS Iowa
Julian Blackmon FS/CB Utah
Gabriel Davis WR UCF
Benny LeMay RB Charlotte (not scouted)
Damar Hamlin SS Pittsburgh
Rodney Smith RB/KR Minnesota (not scouted)

The Best Value on DraftTek Big Board: Benny LeMay
The Biggest Reach on DraftTek Big Board: Khalil Davis
The Most Interesting Stat:

Who I’m Picking: Rodney Smith RB/KR Minnesota. With Smith and, Aiyuk (taken earlier), we have two of the best returners in college football starting on special teams. WR Gabriel Davis (6-3, 212) had the highest receiving yards in the FBS among juniors (Bayless, Gandy-Golden, Duvernay were ahead of him but they’re seniors), with 1,241 yds. But you took Shenault and Aiyuk. You’re fine there. Free Safety/CB Julian Blackmon got more than one look this year, and he’s athletic, strong, shows toughness vs run, is a notoriously hard worker who’s driven from within. He was the Heart of Dallas Bowl MVP over West Virginia.
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Editor’s babble: Look at those thighs on Laviska Shenault and tell me how hard it’s going to be to bring him down. Hope we can get this kid. Lots of great players to choose from and money in the bank. Nice situation for the Bills thanks to McBeane. Thanks, as always, to Dean Kindig for his contributions to our blog. You can find Dean on Twitter @TCBILLS_Astro.